ChelseaLiverpool

Chelsea's home games have averaged 3.0 goals this season (10-6 goal difference in 4 matches), their xG (1.55 scored / 1.40 conceded) also suggests an open, goal-trading style of play. Liverpool, the reigning champions, have scored in all competitions this season, although they have conceded in their last two matches. Chelsea's defense is weakened due to injuries and suspensions (Chalobah, Tosin, Colwill may be missing), making the likelihood of conceding high.

Disciplinary-wise, the Blues collected the most cards last season and this season in the league (118+ cards in 44 matches, this season 12 yellow, 1 red in 9 games); the pace usually picks up in big matches - the Over 3.5 cards line can be exceeded even in an average match.

however, the 1X2 or handicap market is quite uncertain due to injuries, Alisson being out, and Slot's weaker form.