WalesBelgium

Based on the statistics, an open, high-scoring match is shaping up in Cardiff. The home team has scored 11 goals in their last four competitive matches at home (average 2.75), while they often struggle defensively in the first half - conceding seven goals before the break in their last four games. The Belgians have netted 17 goals in five qualifiers (3.4 xG on average), and although they have won only once in their last ten away games, their attacking play - with De Bruyne's creativity and Openda/Doku's pace - remains high quality (20 shots on goal in their last match, 3.1 xG). The two teams' 4-3 match in June also shows the goal potential of this clash.

The pace is high (these two teams average 26-28 shots per game), and both sides show vulnerabilities in defense. A match average of 9-10 corners is expected, though variance is high. The main risk is Belgium's efficiency away from home, and the fluctuating performance of young players in Wales' starting lineup, slightly increasing the likelihood of a draw.