LyonParis Saint-Germain

According to the numbers, a goal-rich, open match is expected. The combined goal exchange indicator (shots/shots on target) is between 0.48-0.52 on both sides, meaning there is a good chance of quality situations in front of both goals. PSG produces an average of 1.6 xG away, but allows 0.97 xGA, while Lyon at home only allows 0.83 xGA. the chance for four or more goals is also close to 0.50. Due to the average number of cards (PSG 1.9, Lyon 2.2 yellow/match) and the expected increased intensity, a match with more than 5 cards would not be surprising. Main risk: if Enrique is more cautious due to the absentees, the pace may slow down, but based on the statistics, the goal potential remains high.