FreiburgMaccabi Tel Aviv

Freiburg is confidently arriving at the meeting: the Breisgau-Brazilianers are unbeaten at home for 11 matches (8 wins, 3 draws), and in the current European season, they have only dropped points once on their own pitch.

On the other side, Maccabi Tel-Aviv struggles away: in the group stage, they have suffered five defeats, with three of them goalless, and have scored only two goals while conceding 18 - giving them the weakest performance in the field. The guests' defense is particularly vulnerable in the half-spaces, which Grifo can exploit by dribbling in from the left, and the Suzuki-Matanovic axis can take advantage of. The stakes are clear: Freiburg is almost certain to reach the top 16 with another victory, while the Israeli team would only have a mathematical chance of survival by winning. This one-sided motivational situation tends to favor the home team.

There is no significant injury news from either the guests or the home team, so Schuster is unlikely to disrupt the Salzburg-defeating defense led by Ginter and Lienhart. Although Freiburg's busy January schedule may result in minimal rotation, the workload on the squad has been well-controlled so far. Overall, we anticipate an expected goal distribution of around 2.3-0.8, promising strong home chances and moderate goal showers.