MoldovaIsrael

Additionally, the hosts will be without their suspended top scorer (Nicolaescu) and two key defenders, further weakening their attacking and defensive capabilities. Israel is significantly higher ranked, and the quality difference between the two teams is reflected in the past six head-to-head matches (four Israeli victories, two draws).

• Moldova scores few goals (average ≤1 in its last seven competitive matches), and their top scorer is missing.
• Even against top teams, Israel consistently creates chances (scored against Belgium, Italy, and France).
• The statistical difference (possession, xG, ranking) and squad strength suggest an X2 outcome, while it's realistic for the hosts to score 0-1 goals.
• The 1.5 goal line is favorable: Israel can reach it alone, but a 2-0 away victory aligns with the other selected markets too.