UkraineFrance

Ukraine and the theoretically stronger France will clash at a neutral venue in Poland. Ukraine's attack is also reliable: they have scored in seven of their last eight encounters but conceded an average of 1.5 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

• France's scoring streak (9/10) and Mbappé and co.'s average of 2.0 goals strengthen the "Guest at least 1 goal" market.
• In both teams' matches, 2 or more goals are common: Ukraine in 6/8, France in 7/10 went over 1.5, so "Over 1.5" is likely to be green.
• Out of the last 12 encounters against each other, Ukraine won only once, and the current form of the French suggests that "France win or draw" seems a safe choice.
• Risks: neutral venue, Saliba's injury, and Deschamps' rotation could reduce the stability of the French defense; Ukraine is motivated as it's their first qualifier.