San MarinoBosnia and Herzegovina

The quality difference between the two national teams is significant: San Marino remains at the bottom of the FIFA rankings, conceding 12 goals in their last four World Cup qualifiers, while Bosnia has won all three of their matches without conceding a goal. Although Bosnia showed poor form away in the Nations League, those matches were against elite teams; San Marino is at a much lower level. In the attack, Džeko and Demirović are expected to generate many shots - they averaged 7.5 shots away in NL matches, but San Marino's defense allows much more (average 18 per match). In defense, the visitors close well against smaller teams: in the previous match against each other, San Marino managed only one shot on target.

• The visitors' success is accompanied by a significant statistical advantage (more than three times the xG difference against the microstates).
• San Marino's goal production remains minimal: in World Cup qualifiers, 0.25 goals per match.
• Bosnia's attackers arrive in good form, and the number of passes inside the box and from the wingers is notably high against the group's tailenders.
• Main risk: Bosnia's defense is decimated with injuries, or possible rotation of the visitors, but the squad depth remains sufficient.