TürkiyeGeorgia

The Georgians are more reserved away from home (1.3 xG expectation), but are effective on quick counters through Kvaratskhelia; so far, they have scored in all 3/3 matches against direct rivals. Defense is vulnerable on both sides: Turkey concedes 13 shots per match, Georgia is more passive but allowed high-quality chances to Spain (2.1 xGA). Their corner profile totals ~9.5/match, and based on the refereeing approach (Oliver, Godinho), an average card count (3.6) is expected. The main risk is that Turkey's defense may be mentally vulnerable after the 0-6 loss to Spain, while the Georgians sometimes defend deep, which can hold back the goal volume.