Republic of IrelandArmenia

The home team averaged 1.4 xG during three qualifiers, scoring 2 goals per 90 minutes at home, while allowing less than 1.0 xGA. The Armenians generate only 0.9 expected goals away, while suffering 2.3 xGA; both the 0-5 in Portugal and the 0-2 in Budapest highlight defensive issues. The visitors have not kept a clean sheet in 34 matches, conceding an average of 16 shots, 6 of which are on target. Corner and card profile: both teams around 4-5 corners/90, with an average of 3.5-4 cards, but neither is outstanding, so we skip these markets. A risk is that there's no consistent scorer in Ireland's offense, and Festy Ebosele's injury may lead to rotation up front, but the visitors' continuous defensive errors may offset this.