UEFA Europa League · 2025-11-06
PAOKYoung Boys
Ankstesnių mūsų patarimų atranka
- PAOKYoung Boys2025-11-06UEFA Europa League
- PAOK to win with a -0.75 Asian handicap.@ 1,10Laimėta
- Abi komandos įmuš@ 1,59Pralaimėta
- Back over 4.5 total cards.@ 1,85 · statymas 2,50% · biudžetas +2,13%Laimėta
Analizė
Rungtynių analizė tokia, kokia buvo paskelbta tuo metu.
Based on statistics, PAOK shows very high attacking efficiency at home (an average of 3.1 expected goals per game), while with Pavlenka in goal they allow only 0.9 goals/90 minutes. The Young Boys have a lively attack (1.4-1.5 expected goals), but their defense concedes 1.9 goals per game, particularly vulnerable away from home. Due to the absence of Lovren, we adjusted the expected goals for the Swiss by +0.15, so λ_home ≈ 3.1, λ_away ≈ 1.4. The high tempo (PAOK 13 shots/90, YB 15), frequent fouls by the Swiss (16 fouls/90), and referee tendencies suggest we can also expect a lot of cards. The main risk is potential PAOK rotation and the Young Boys' quick wingers' counter-efficiency.
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