San MarinoCyprus

According to the data, a one-sided match is expected at the Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle. San Marino scored only 1 goal in six qualifiers while conceding 28, resulting in an offensive average of 0.17 and a defensive average of 4.67. Cyprus isn't in good form either, but they have scored 7 goals in their last six matches, averaging 1.2 xG away from home. Although their defense has conceded at least two goals in five of the last six matches, due to San Marino's minimal attacking strength, this is less of a risk factor. The corner profile (CYP 4.5 vs SMR 1.8) and the cards (avg 3.2/90) do not show extreme deviation. The biggest uncertainty: Cyprus's motivation, and whether they let the match "slow down" if they take the lead quickly.