LyonPAOK

According to statistics, Olympique Lyon's form in January 2026 is still overwhelming. At home, they have 20 wins out of 25 matches, with a perfect record at Groupama Stadium, while the defense has a 0.56 conceded goals per 90 minutes statistic with Rémy Descamps in goal.

Less detailed data is available for PAOK, but the analysis reveals they have scored in all group matches away, with an average of 1.4 goals. However, the Greeks will likely miss Ivanusec, whereas in Lyon, Nuamah is definitely out, and Fofana and Ghezzal are quite possibly missing. On key positions, however, Fonseca's starting eleven is not significantly weakened, so the basic game - possession superiority, 15-17 shots/90 - is maintainable.

The stakes are not negligible: Lyon is chasing the first seed position, and PAOK is securing a playoff spot, so motivation is given on both sides; this somewhat increases the likelihood of a physically demanding, yellow-card-rich scenario. The main uncertainty is the possible rotation and PAOK's stable away goal scoring, but based on the defensive metrics, the French side is worth favoring.