NiceRennes

For the Nice-Rennes matchup, the direction of league form and chance quality points more toward the visitors, but the game script can easily end up feeling like a "draw kind of game". Nice have been struggling to win in the league for a while now (according to the expert summary, just one win in their last 14 Ligue 1 matches), and at home they've more or less stabilized too: in their most recent home games they've had more draws than wins. The goalkeeper numbers also call for caution on the home side (Diouf is high at 1.81 goals conceded/90), which suggests Nice often allow chances close to clear-cut.

Rennes, on the other hand, come in on a good run (three straight Ligue 1 wins), and behind the upturn there's tactical stability too: in a 4-3-3 structure their defensive control has improved, while in attack more of the finishing is coming through the central striker (Lepaul is up to 11 goals).

The main uncertainty is Nice's squad situation and match load: they're coming off a longer cup tie that went to penalties, and there are several absences/doubtfuls (multiple defensive and attacking options are in question). Rennes also have a few injuries, but the expert notes that Haise has been using a consistent starting XI in recent weeks, which reduces variance.