ItalyNorway

Based on the seven qualifying matches so far, the matches between the two teams have averaged over 4 goals (Italy 2.9; Norway 4.7 goals/match). The chance of a BTTS event is 0.68, as Norway has conceded only four, and Italy eight goals, but both sides operate with above-average shot volume (Norway 6.1 shots on target/match). The main risk is the stability of the Norwegian defense away from home (average 0.67 goals conceded), and that Gattuso's team only broke through late in their last away match against Moldova. Nevertheless, the statistical basis suggests an open, goal-rich match likely to see scoring from both sides.