NetherlandsLithuania

Based on the statistical profile of the two teams, there is a significant difference. The Dutch scored 4.33 goals at home in the qualifiers and conceded only 0.33 per match, while Lithuania only produced an average of 0.33 goals in away games.

There is also a huge contrast in shooting statistics: Oranje works with 16.4 shots on goal, with a situation quality of 0.19 at home, while the Baltics in away games only manage 6.1 attempts with a 0.08 quality. The risk factor is the Dutch efficiency (only 0.07 goals/attempt against Poland), and potential trial substitutions in the second half, which slightly decreases the goal chance and increases the likelihood of a draw. Overall, a stable, largely one-sided match picture emerges, with few Lithuanian scoring opportunities.