LithuaniaPoland

According to statistics, the Lithuanian national team scores an average of 1.1 goals and concedes 1.8 goals per game at home, while the Polish team has an away expected goals (xG) of around 1.8, with their defense allowing an xGA of around 0.7.

The Baltic team has only been scoreless once in their last six qualifiers, but they have conceded at least one goal in as many matches. The Polish defense is stable (less than 1 goal conceded per game), and their attack is bolstered by the return of Lewandowski. The average number of corners is 4.7 (Lithuania) vs. 5.6 (Poland), and the card count is 3.4/3.0, so extreme numbers for cards or corners are not expected. The main risk is that the visitors sometimes struggle to break down deep defenses, but the home team's high error rate increases the likelihood of Polish goals.