InternazionaleFiorentina

Based on the data, we can expect a fast-paced, open encounter. Inter's average home XG is 2.1, while their conceded XG is around 0.9; they've won four out of five league matches at the San Siro, with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The visiting Fiorentina scores 1.1 XG away but concedes 1.8, thus their goal difference is -0.7; their defense shows 17 big chances conceded. Card environment: both teams average around 22-23 fouls p90, and Inter's matches have an average of 4.5 yellow cards; the referee's average is 5.1, thus surpassing the 3.5 threshold is realistically possible. In corners, the Milanese hold a league record with 9.7 home corners, but the corner market ROI is negative, so we skipped it. Inter's fluctuating defense (increased xGA against Napoli) and Fiorentina's counters may pose risks, but the statistics still clearly show home advantage.