Slavia PragueArsenal

Based on the statistics, Arsenal continues to show elite defense: only 3 goals conceded in 13 matches, with an expected goals against (expected conceded goals) around 0.54, while Slavia holds possession often in their domestic league but has only produced 0.80 expected goals per match in the Champions League so far. The Londoners average around 2.00 expected goals away, winning 11 out of 14 encounters, and their shot quality (0.17 goals/shot) is outstanding. The gameplay is expected to be slower, with possession control (60-40) by the visitors and few Prague shots. Risk: if the rotated Arsenal defense sits too deep, Slavia could be dangerous from set-pieces, but the data still shows clear dominance by the visitors.