MilanLecce

At San Siro, AC Milan, aiming for the championship, hosts Lecce, who are hanging by a thread from the relegation zone. In contrast, Lecce has scored the fewest goals in the league, with both the quantity and quality of their shots far below average.

Regarding squads, Allegri gets almost a full arsenal back: Pulisic and Leão are available, Nkunku is in excellent form, only Pavlović's participation is questionable. For the visitors, Camarda is injured, and two starting defenders (Veiga, Gaspar) are suspended, which could further weaken an already fragile backline. From a motivational standpoint, Milan cannot afford to make mistakes if they want to keep up with Inter and Juventus, while every point is a matter of life and death for Lecce - this often leads to fouls and many duels. The weather and schedule (Milan played on Thursday, but has a wide rotation) do not pose extreme risks.

The main uncertainty lies in Milan's possible rotation and how much they ease off the gas after an early home goal; overall, however, their statistical advantage is significant, and the risk is manageable.