ArmeniaHungary

Based on the current form and expected goals of the two teams, a rather one-sided clash is taking shape in Yerevan. Based on the last four qualifiers, Armenia's expected goals at home average only 0.6 - this is further worsened by the absence of the Barseghyan-Bichakhchyan duo. In contrast, the Hungarian national team under Rossi produces around 1.8 expected goals even away, with two modern wingers and Szoboszlai's creativity. The biggest risk is the Hungarian defense's fluctuating stability (average 1.75 goals conceded/match), but due to Armenia's lack of attacking threats, this is less concerning now. Overall, I expect an overall xG of about 2.4, with Hungary likely taking about two-thirds of that share.