Real SociedadAtlético Madrid

In the 18th round, two teams with contrasting trajectories face off. Real Sociedad at home has a 3–1–4 record, creating 1.48 expected goals per match, while conceding 1.23 - which isn't bad, but in reality, they have conceded 13 goals. The visiting Atlético is inconsistent away (3–3–3), but their attacking play is stable: around 1.6 expected goals, with high-quality shots (noteworthy ratio of attempts inside the box). Defensively, Simeone's team concedes an average of 1.3 expected goals away, leading to typically goal-swapping encounters.

This difference is evident in the standings: Atlético is on the podium with 37 points, while Sociedad is struggling at 16th place with 17 points. The home team has a new coach, Matarazzo, debuting, and two center-backs (Gorrotxategi, Zubeldia) suspended, Rupérez and Herrera injured. The return of Oyarzabal strengthens the attack, but the disruption in the backline poses a risk. For the visitors, only Lenglet is ailing, Nico González's play is doubtful, but at least two from the Álvarez, Sørloth, Griezmann trio will start, and Le Normand could return to defense.

Sociedad does not hold back at home (average of 12 shots/match), so the chance of both teams scoring is high. The main uncertainty stems from the recent coaching change and the forced blend in the Basque backline, but significant rotation is not expected due to the tight squad.