ScotlandDenmark

A decisive, intense clash in Glasgow for the group lead is expected to unfold with high tempo and open play. In the five qualifiers so far, Scotland averaged 1.8, Denmark 2.8 goals scored; at home, the Scots have a 2.5 goal average, and away, the Danes have a particularly attacking 4.5 goal average. Defensively, Clarke's team averages around 1.0, Riemer's 0.6 goals conceded per match, but due to Angus Gunn's absence, the 42-year-old Craig Gordon will defend - so we adjust the opponent's expected goals by +0.15. The Scottish defense is vulnerable in aerial duels, while Eriksen and Damsgaard's precise balls to Højlund pose a constant threat. Due to the high stakes, a tense, hard-fought match is likely, increasing the number of cards; the last two respective competitive matches brought 5 and 6 yellow cards. A key risk is that a draw is enough for the Danes, which might make them more cautious in the endgame.