LatviaSerbia

On paper and in form, the Serbs stand two classes above the Latvians. In Nations League A, they were consistent against strong opponents, while Latvia lost four out of six matches in League C. The visitors' defense kept a clean sheet four times in the last eight competitive matches, while the Baltics averaged less than one goal per match, and their strongest attack duo (Mitrović–Vlahović) is available as well.

• Latvia scored only twice in their last six home/competitive matches, with a goal average of 0.66.
• Serbia scored at least one goal in five of their previous six competitive matches.
• The Latvian backline is weakened due to Cernomordijs' suspension, while the Serbian attacking force remains unchanged.
• The goal average for both sides is low, suggesting a likely low-scoring, one-sided match.