OsasunaVillarreal

The Budimir-R. García duo is productive with 11 and 4 goals respectively, and the home side averages over two goals in front of their own fans. The defense can be shaky at times (conceding at least two goals in two home matches), but Catena's return might stabilize the axis.

Villarreal is overall strong in the league (37 scored, 21 conceded in 20 matches, expected goal difference around +0.8), but their away record is inconsistent: a 14-12 goal difference in 9 outings, with five wins and four points dropped. Their defense is currently facing a wave of injuries (Foyth, Logan Costa, Kambwala are missing), so Marcelino's team will once again rely on the Veiga-Mouriño duo. Up front, they still have plenty of firepower: Moleiro (8 goals), Mikautadze (7), and Gerard Moreno (5) average over 3.5 shots on target per 90 minutes, with an average of 2.9 goals in their matches.

This difference might lead to a lively tempo with plenty of shots. Both teams are motivated: Villarreal is chasing a league podium after a Champions League disappointment, and Osasuna wants to stay close to the top.