PortugalHungary

Based on the data, the Portuguese team might dominate the game at their home in Lisbon. According to the shot/xG metrics, Portugal averages over 15 shots and around 2.3 xG, with 6-7 shots on target. The defense is stable, but as we saw in the previous 3-2 head-to-head, they can be vulnerable at high tempos. The Hungarians attack bravely even away (1.6 xG on average in their last 4 matches; averaging 2 goals), but they allow over 1.4 xGA, which is risky against the Portuguese attack. Corner profile: Portugal averages 6.5 home corners per match, Hungary 4.0 away - it could exceed a total of 10, but the variance is high. Both teams average around 2 cards, with the referee often allowing physical contact. The main risk is Portugal quickly deciding the match and thus slowing down the tempo, and the efficiency of Hungarian counters could influence the goal markets.