BarcelonaOlympiacos

According to the statistics, Barcelona is working with an average of 2.8 goals at home and only 0.8 goals conceded, while the shooting quality (average home xG ≈ 2.2) is outstanding. Olympiakos hasn't scored yet in the group stage, with an average xG under 0.4, and away against Arsenal, they ended with 0.00 xG with no shots on goal. On the defensive side, however, they allowed xGA above 2.0, which is dangerous against Barcelona, which works with fast wingers and deep passes. The absence of Lewandowski for the Catalans reduces the number of central finishes, but with Raphinha's return, the amount of shots/assists coming from the wings can be replaced. The corner profile (home 6.4, away 4.1 p90) indicates a slight Barca advantage, while the average cards (Barcelona 1.2, Olympiakos 2.0 p90) are moderate. The main risk is that Barcelona might pace themselves for the weekend Clasico, which could lead to rotation and a tempered pace in the second half. Nevertheless, based on the difference between attacking-defensive metrics, a high-scoring, one-sided match is likely.