FiorentinaParma

For Fiorentina, this match is a classic "six-pointer" in the relegation battle, while Parma, thanks to their results in recent weeks (four straight league games unbeaten), have clearly moved further away from the danger zone. The hosts' form has been up and down: last time out in the league they lost 0-3 to Udinese, and according to the expert recap they did not even manage a shot on target, which is a serious red flag about the quality of their chance creation.

Looking at the whole season, Fiorentina have not been dominant at home either (13 points from 13 home league games), but at the Franchi they've looked more stable in recent weeks, and in the starting XI the number one source of goals has been Kean (9 league goals, plenty of them at home). Parma are particularly dangerous away from home: they managed to beat both Bologna and Milan, and the expert piece highlights their late-goal trend (a lot of goals from the 76th minute onwards), which keeps the endgame scenarios wide open.

On the absences: for Fiorentina, Parisi is suspended, Solomon is injured, and Kean is a doubt; for Parma, Valenti is suspended and they also have several injuries. That can force makeshift solutions in the defensive setups, which increases uncertainty, but overall it still points to a tight game, likely within a 1-2 goal margin: Fiorentina are highly motivated, and Parma manage games well even on the road.