RomaMidtjylland

Roma is having an almost perfect season at home in Serie A, but in the Europa League, after two surprising home slips, they have yet to win at the Olimpico. However, statistics suggest there is no serious problem with the quality of play: in their home international matches, they average 2.2 expected goals (xG) while conceding 1.1. The list of absentees is moderately long: Dovbyk and Angeliño are still unavailable, but the Dybala/Pellegrini pair, who rested over the weekend, is now at least available as substitutes; this increases the rotational depth, but the starting attacking line will likely be Soule-Pellegrini-Ferguson.

Midtjylland has won all their EL appearances, but their indicators (1.4 expected goals conceded per match) suggest their defense is more vulnerable than their 12/12 point start suggests. Franculino's goal form (17 goals) is outstanding, but although Billing, who was sent off over the weekend, returns, he is not one hundred percent. Coming off a trip, they lost to SønderjyskE with a penalty in the 100th minute on Sunday, which is also mentally taxing.

The key uncertainty is the extent of Roma's rotation (match against Napoli on Sunday) and how well the Danes' set-pieces (which have been effective in all four of their EL matches) will work against Mancini and co.