PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar

On paper, the match of the round points to a PSV edge, mainly because of their home goal output: in the league PSV have hit 3-5 goals in several games, and the squad has multiple attackers/midfielders with high individual scoring numbers (for example Saibari, Til, Pepi). For AZ, Parrott and Mijnans are the main goal threats, but away from home in recent weeks the visitors have often ended up with low or zero goals scored, while their defending has not been stable either (several away losses with 2+ conceded).

Style-wise, PSV often dominate possession at home, which typically comes with a high volume of chances and shots. So the game can easily develop into a script where AZ have to defend deeper and look for Parrott in transition. Important context: AZ have an international cup match five days later, which increases the likelihood of rotation and intensity management. Absences can matter too: the preview mentions several PSV injuries (including van Bommel, Mauro Junior, Til), while for AZ, Clasie is not traveling, Smit is suspended, and two full-backs are questionable. All of that adds uncertainty, but with PSV's home attacking potential and AZ's away-day inconsistency, the balance still tilts toward the home side, with a moderate approach to goals.