CroatiaFaroe Islands

During the six qualifiers, Modrić and his team scored 20 goals and conceded just one, averaging four goals per home game, while the islanders achieve 0.67 goals away from home. The quality and quantity of shots also show Croatian superiority (an average of 16-5 shots, 2.1-0.3 expected goal difference).

Dalić's team is likely to take an early lead, which will force the visitors to open up, increasing the number of goals in the second half. Main risk: Croatia qualifies with just one point, so the tempo might be slower than expected; additionally, a set piece from the Faroese could reduce the clean sheet chance, although the likelihood is low.