Tottenham HotspurVillarreal

Based on the season stats so far, Tottenham shows stable defense at home: out of five official matches, they kept three clean sheets, conceding just three goals in total over 450 minutes.

Villarreal has played two away league matches so far, scoring only once and having a total xG of around 2.0, while conceding three goals. Moreover, the Spanish team historically has never won against an English opponent in the Champions League, and they are now missing key attackers (Gerard Moreno).

• Spurs matches have averaged 2.0 goals, reinforcing the low-scoring trend.
• Villarreal's away goal average is 0.5, while they haven't reached above 1.5 yet.
• Tottenham's home unbeaten streak in international cups is 20 matches, making the "not losing" outcome very secure.

As a risk, it's necessary to consider that Spurs may have missing players in various goalscoring positions, but goals from midfield and defense have so far offset the striker issues.