PanathinaikosRoma

Based on the statistics, a balanced, relatively low-scoring clash is looming at the Olympic Stadium in Athens. Panathinaikos averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded in the group stage, but their most successful striker, Świderski, who scored 8 goals, is absent due to suspension, while Dessers is injured, so Benítez will have to rely on the goalless Tetteh.

In attack, 1.7 goals scored per Europa League match is the norm, with the creativity remaining in the Soule–Pellegrini–Ferguson trio, even though Koné is injured, Dybala needs to be rested, and Dovbyk is unavailable. The visitors only need one point to reach the top eight directly, so they are expected to play with a control-oriented, risk-averse approach.

Panathinaikos should create danger from counterattacks, but without key players, their efficiency is weak. Overall, 0.8-1.2 expected home goals and 1.1-1.3 expected away goals suggest a total goal expectation around 2.0. The depth of the visitors' rotation and the strong home record of the Greeks could pose risks, but the numbers still tilt the balance towards few goals and the visitors remaining unbeaten.