Leeds UnitedWest Ham United

Based on the statistics, both teams are currently leaning more towards stability rather than goal-rich matches. At home, Leeds shows an average of 1.15 xG over four games and 0.65 xGA in defense, indicating relatively tight matches in front of their own fans (an average of 2.0 total goals scored-conceded). The visiting West Ham is indeed stronger away from home, but available data suggests they only score 0.9 goals per 90 minutes while conceding 1.6, and their most dangerous striker, Fullkrug, is injured. The quality of shots is also average: 0.10 npxG/shot for Leeds and around 0.09 for the Hammers.

According to Temprend, there will be few corners (Leeds forces 4.3, West Ham gives 4.1), while the number of cards is average (Leeds 2.1, West Ham 2.3 yellow/90). The key risk is the fluctuation of Leeds' attacking play (only 7 league goals), as well as the visitors' counters, especially through Bowen. However, the dry numbers suggest a closed, low-scoring match, with a moderate chance of a home defeat.