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Fourteenth-placed Lecce trail 13th-placed Genoa by a single point, but the visitors arrive in far better form and the market leans their way.
After nine rounds only a point separates these sides, Genoa on 10 and Lecce on 9, so the winner can open a little space above the trouble below.
Form tells a different story for each. Lecce have lost four of their last five, most recently a 5-1 thrashing at Frosinone, and their 19 goals conceded is a worrying figure. Genoa have won three of their last five, including a 2-0 home win over Juventus.
Lecce are badly stretched: Gaspar is suspended, while Ivan Ilić, Lassana Coulibaly, Santiago Pierotti and Willem Geubbels are injured. Falcone starts in goal, with Monteiro and Paco Esteban in attack. Genoa are missing only Cody Drameh, with Osmajic and Baldanzi leading the line.
The market makes Genoa slight favourites at around 40%, with the draw at 31% and a home win at 28%. A tight, low-scoring game looks likelier: Genoa have scored just 8 in nine, and recent meetings have been sparse affairs.
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