RennesBrest

A Brittany derby will be held at Roazhon Park, where sixth-placed Rennes is trying to make up for the 5-0 disaster suffered against PSG. The home team's statistics at home are formidable: in seven matches, 15 goals scored and only 7 conceded (average 2.14-1.00), with an expected goal difference of +0.68/90 minutes. The visiting Brest is more erratic away from home (1.14 goals scored, 1.86 conceded per match), with a -0.62 negative balance based on expected goals. However, the attacking efficiency has increased in recent weeks: the form of Del Castillo and Doumbia has led Eric Roy's team to three victories.

Regarding absentees, Rennes has stable starting defender Jeremy Jacquet suspended due to a red card, slightly increasing the chance of a visitor goal. However, in attack, Esteban Lepaul (8 goals) and Embolo, who was rested against PSG, are available. At Brest, Ludovic Ajorque's suspension is a significant loss for the forwards, even though Labeau-Lascary can return, their threat from set-pieces decreases.

With the open, transition-focused football seen on both sides, the derby's prestige, and defensive shortcomings (Rennes: 23 goals conceded in total, Brest: 1.86 away), it's likely that both teams will score, and the goal tally may exceed the 2.5 mark. The biggest risk is that with Brest's Ajorque out, their attacking play might be more restrained, but Rennes isn't always disciplined at the back; thus, the BTTS scenario remains likely.