LiechtensteinWales

Based on the current qualification data, there's a significant gap between the two teams. Liechtenstein hasn't scored in six matches, conceding 23 goals; The visitor's attacking potential is limited by the absence of Kieffer Moore -0.15 xG, but this is offset by Jens Hofer's suspension (+0.15 xG), leading to estimated goal averages of Liechtenstein 0.45, Wales 2.1. Main risk: rotation in the Welsh defense could increase the chance of a single home counter goal, and the Dragons' recent three defeats might be a mental factor.