Bayern MunichSporting CP

Bayern remains a formidable home machine: the Kompany team has won every competitive match at the Allianz Arena this season, with an expected goal average of over 2.8, while conceding only 0.9 expected goals per game. The main attacking weapon is the Kane-Olise-Gnabry trio, which has scored 49 goals in 22 matches, and the home shot average (17.1) ranks at the top of the Champions League field. Sporting arrives in good form (12-match unbeaten streak), but in Portuguese league matches they concede on average only 0.7 expected goals, and away they haven't encountered attacking power comparable to Bayern. Furthermore, the visitors still have Debast and Bragança injured, while the freshly recovered Ioannidis is likely a substitute, so the Suarez-led attack line can rotate less.

Bayern is also aiming for the top spot in the group, so motivational issues are unlikely. The main risk could be extensive rotation, but according to preliminary news, Kompany will field his team with full strength, with only Luiz Díaz's suspension causing some wing variation.