GironaLevante

The defense of the two bottom teams has already suffered many wounds: Girona conceded 11 goals in 4 rounds, and Levante conceded 9. The expected goals against (xGA) are also high - the hosts allow around 2.35 at home, and the visitors allow around 1.2 away per match - which suggests a fair exchange of goals and at least 2 scores.

• Levante has scored in every other away game so far, and Girona has capitulated at least twice in both of their home matches, making the chances of a visitor goal strong.
• A total of 2-3 goals is the most probable range: Girona has a home game goal average of 3, Levante away averages 2.5.
• Due to the weak defensive lines, avoiding a draw also makes sense - neither team can close a match consistently.
• A risk factor is that Girona's attack has been sputtering so far (2 goals scored), but they have an xG of 1.25 at home, which indicates at least one goal.