Celta VigoAtlético Madrid

Based on the statistics, Celta scores in almost every league game this season (scored in 7/7 matches, average 1.14 goals, 1.14 xG), however, their defense is vulnerable (1.71 goals conceded, 1.46 xGA). Atlético is traditionally strong away from home - even this season, with only 1 loss, while conceding 9 goals in 7 rounds shows their defense is not rock-solid. Therefore, BTTS seems valuable. In La Liga, an average of 5.4 yellow cards are handed out per match, the two teams together have averaged 3.3 cards in 90 minutes so far, so the outcome of over 3.5 cards is also favorable. Main risks: Celta sometimes goes into a bunker, Atlético might rotate after the Champions League, and the referee's (identity not yet known) card-giving style.