SpainBulgaria

Based on the current data, the match is expected to overwhelmingly favor the Spanish team. The hosts have achieved an 11-0 goal difference in three qualifiers, with an average expected goal (xG) of over 3, while their conceded xG barely reaches 0.4. In terms of corners, the Spanish average 7.5, while the Bulgarians are below 2; for cards, an average of around 3.5 is expected. The main risk is the Spanish rotation (absence of Torres, Rodri, Olmo) and potential pace reduction after an early lead, which could affect handicap outcomes.