BragaRed Star

Based on statistics, Braga is performing outstandingly in the European series: in this season's seven international matches so far, they've scored 14–2, with an average of ~1.6 xG and only ~0.6 xGA per match. In attack, Horta (0.53 goals/90) and Zalazar (4.5 shots/90) ensure the expected goals to be around 1.7.

Red Star is vulnerable away from home: in the last 12 major European tours, they suffered 11 losses, an average of 2.1 goals conceded, and only ~0.9 goals scored.

The match may be more tactical, with a moderate pace; 10-12 shots on both sides, but with a quality advantage for the home team. The risks come from Red Star's set pieces and potential Portuguese mistakes. About 4-5 yellow cards and 9-10 corners are expected.