Paris Saint-GermainRennes

The reigning champion PSG will host Rennes, who are currently in great form, at the Parc des Princes. After 14 rounds, the Parisians stand in second place with 29 points, having conceded only two goals at home alongside five wins and one draw, while averaging 1.9 expected goals per match. The visitors have made up six points in November with four consecutive league wins, but away from home, they've won only twice in seven matches so far, and their expected goal difference is -4.9, indicating that their good run is more due to efficiency than consistent performance.

On the injury front, Luis Enrique has only lost Achraf Hakimi and the young Doué, with key players like Kvaratskhelia, Vitinha, and Barcola available, meaning the attacking rhythm is unlikely to drop. For Rennes, Seko Fofana is missing as the central stabilizer in midfield, which could cause issues against the intense Parisian pressing, especially in ball circulation. Habib Beye’s team, even in their successful streak, averaged 1.6 expected goals allowed per match and now face the league's best attacking lineup.

The biggest uncertainty comes from the visitors' outstanding form, but based on deeper metrics, it's more about overperformance.